NFL: Should Josh Allen Be One of the MVP Betting Favourites?

Heading into the 2024-2025 NFL season, a lot of players look like they have a shot to win the MVP award. From Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson to Tyreek Hill and Aaron Rodgers, a case can be made for a few players this year. But what about the quarterback of the Buffalo Bills? Can a case be made for him?

Josh Allen tied for the second best odds to win the NFL MVP award

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is currently tied for the second best odds to win the 2024-2025 NFL MVP award with Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. Allen and Burrow have +900 odds to win the award on BetMGM. The betting favourite is Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is a +500 betting favourite. The reigning MVP Lamar Jackson has the fifth best odds at +1200.

Allen received one first-place vote for MVP last season, but does he have enough talent around him to win the award this season with wide receiver Stefon Diggs now a member of the Houston Texans? For Allen to win the award, he will need to have a great statistical season, make the playoffs, and pass the eye test. Allen should be able to put up enough stats to be in the conversation for MVP regardless of his passing numbers because of his ability to run with the football. Jackson won the MVP last season with only 3,678 passing yards and 24 passing touchdowns, but he also had 821 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns to go along with the best record in the AFC.

Allen’s road to the MVP will be difficult

Allen finished last season with more passing yards, passing touchdowns, and rushing touchdowns than Jackson last season. But Allen and his team were inconsistent and in serious danger of missing the playoffs. Allen was also second in the league in interceptions with 18. With a young and unproven group of receivers and running backs on his team, it’s tough to assume that the problems that stopped Allen from winning the award last season will be fixed. Whether or not the Bills will be better on offense without Allen and Diggs clashing on the sidelines and behind the scenes is still unknown.

One thing that is certain is their schedule. The Bills will play against the Miami Dolphins twice, Jacksonville Jaguars, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans, New York Jets twice, Seattle Seahawks, Kansas City Chiefs, San Francisco 49ers, Los Angeles Rams, and Detroit Lions. On paper, these are 12 hard games to win. Allen won’t have a great shot at the award if the Bills win nine or less games unless he has a historic statistical season. And he won’t have any shot if they miss the playoffs.

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Why Allen doesn’t look like a great pick right now

With all this going against him, Allen doesn’t look like a great pick for the MVP award right now, especially considering he is tied for the second best odds to win the award. The NFL betting sites might be a little too generous with his odds heading into the season. Allen’s odds might be shorter than they should be, but he does have a path.

Rookie wide receiver Keon Coleman and running back James Cook are two players with potential. If they live up to that potential, the Bills might not miss Diggs much on the offensive end. And if the Bills have one of the best defenses in the league again this year, Allen’s name will probably be in the conversation for MVP as long as the team makes the playoffs.

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